Every alert
07:25 UPDATEEarly morning update (MNQ.Z26), 07:25 ET bar: 29,830.25. Phase: pre-market.
In plain English: Overnight the market moved up about 88 points from yesterday's 29,742 close, a small gap. Gaps that size usually get filled, so 29,742 is a magnet today. We are above the middle of the overnight range, which usually means the overnight high (29,967) gets tested before the other end. Nothing to do yet. The job before 9:45 is to let the open sort itself out and see which levels get hit. Either way it is one trade, one micro, with a stop of roughly 15 to 30 points ($30 to $60), a target about one and a half times that, sent as a bracket so it runs without you.
Levels: ONH 29,967.25 (+137) | ON mid 29,807.38 (-23) | PDH 29,793.25 (-37) | Prior close 29,741.75 (-88) | ONL 29,647.50 (-183) | PDL 29,605.75 (-224)
5m ATR 20 | daily ATR 397 | 9/21 EMA 29,854/29,865
Watch:
- Price is above the ON mid (29,807.38): ONH usually breaks first (~76%); ONL is reached first only ~23%.
- Gap +88 pts is tiny (0.22 daily ATR): the prior close 29,741.75 is a magnet (fills ~78%); expect the overnight range to get swept.
- 9:30-9:45: watch only. A third of overnight-level breaks happen in the first 5 minutes; most whipsaws live here.
- Stop sizing right now: 0.75x ATR = 15 pts ($30/micro), 1.5x cap = 30 pts.
Full page: https://peltonsites.com/mnq/
08:25 UPDATEPre-open update (MNQ.Z26), 08:25 ET bar: 29,775.25. Phase: pre-market.
In plain English: Overnight the market moved up about 34 points from yesterday's 29,742 close, a small gap. Gaps that size usually get filled, so 29,742 is a magnet today. We are below the middle of the overnight range, which usually means the overnight low (29,648) gets tested before the other end. Nothing to do yet. The job before 9:45 is to let the open sort itself out and see which levels get hit. Either way it is one trade, one micro, with a stop of roughly 16 to 33 points ($33 to $66), a target about one and a half times that, sent as a bracket so it runs without you.
Levels: ONH 29,967.25 (+192) | ON mid 29,807.38 (+32) | PDH 29,793.25 (+18) | Prior close 29,741.75 (-34) | ONL 29,647.50 (-128) | PDL 29,605.75 (-170)
5m ATR 22 | daily ATR 397 | 9/21 EMA 29,800/29,826
Watch:
- Price is below the ON mid (29,807.38): ONL usually breaks first (~76%); ONH is reached first only ~23%.
- Gap +34 pts is tiny (0.08 daily ATR): the prior close 29,741.75 is a magnet (fills ~78%); expect the overnight range to get swept.
- 9:30-9:45: watch only. A third of overnight-level breaks happen in the first 5 minutes; most whipsaws live here.
- Price is 50 pts from the 21 EMA (>2 ATR): extended, do not chase; wait for the pullback.
- Stop sizing right now: 0.75x ATR = 16 pts ($33/micro), 1.5x cap = 33 pts.
Full page: https://peltonsites.com/mnq/
09:10 BRIEFMNQ morning map, Fri Sep 18 (MNQ.Z26)
PDH 29,793.25 | PDL 29,605.75 | prior close 29,741.75
ONH 29,967.25 | ONL 29,647.50 | ON mid 29,807.38
Pre-open 29,786.25: below ON mid -> ONL usually breaks first (~76%).
Gap +44 pts = 0.11 daily ATR (tiny gap, fills ~78% same day).
Daily ATR 409 | 5-min ATR 19
News: nothing high-impact on the calendar.
Rules: nothing before 9:45, max 3 alerts, flat by 11:30.
09:40 UPDATEWindow open, first 15 minutes done (MNQ.Z26), 09:40 ET bar: 29,816.75. Phase: open, watch only (9:30-9:45).
In plain English: Overnight the market moved up about 71 points from yesterday's 29,742 close, a small gap. Gaps that size usually get filled, so 29,742 is a magnet today. We are above the middle of the overnight range, which usually means the overnight high (29,967) gets tested before the other end. Price is below today's average price (29,821), so the sellers have the upper hand so far. Nothing to do yet. The job before 9:45 is to let the open sort itself out and see which levels get hit. Either way it is one trade, one micro, with a stop of roughly 20 to 40 points ($40 to $81), a target about one and a half times that, sent as a bracket so it runs without you.
Levels: ONH 29,967.25 (+150) | VWAP 29,821.01 (+4) | ON mid 29,807.38 (-9) | PDH 29,793.25 (-24) | Prior close 29,741.75 (-75) | ONL 29,647.50 (-169) | PDL 29,605.75 (-211)
5m ATR 27 | daily ATR 409 | 9/21 EMA 29,805/29,805
Watch:
- Price is above the ON mid (29,807.38): ONH usually breaks first (~76%); ONL is reached first only ~23%.
- Gap +71 pts is tiny (0.17 daily ATR): the prior close 29,741.75 is a magnet (fills ~78%); expect the overnight range to get swept.
- ONH 29,967.25 (+150 pts) is fresh: a poke of less than ~13 pts that closes back inside = Setup A short; a body close through it on heavy volume = a break, do not fade.
- ONL 29,647.50 (-169 pts) is fresh: a poke of less than ~13 pts that closes back inside = Setup A long; a body close through it on heavy volume = a break, do not fade.
- PDL 29,605.75 (-211 pts) is fresh: a poke of less than ~13 pts that closes back inside = Setup A long; a body close through it on heavy volume = a break, do not fade.
- Broken today: PDH 29,793.25. A retest that holds is Setup B territory; do not fade these.
Full page: https://peltonsites.com/mnq/
10:25 READ10:30 read (MNQ.Z26): first-hour body 0.55 (down) -> mode rotation.
IB 29,694.00-29,845.25 (151 pts = 0.37 daily ATR; narrow, extension likely).
Price 29,729.25 below VWAP 29,770.48; 21 over 9; VWAP crosses in hour one: 2.
Rotation: Setup A at fresh outer levels; Setup B only on a clean IB break.
10:40 HEADSUP👀 The down move is pulling back to the average price and may set up a SHORT. If the next 5-min bar turns back down off it, that's the go (~43 pts risk). About 5 min to decide.
11:25 DONE11:30, morning window over (MNQ.Z26). Lunch until 13:00: only PDH/PDL/ONH/ONL fades qualify and they arrive graded B with the thin tape priced in. A 12:00 read will say whether lunch is dead. Afternoon opens 13:00 with the day's high/low as its levels.
This morning: 1 heads-up, 0 graded calls sent, 0 watch-only (C) on the page.
Your trades today: no trades.
Auto-flatten: no position to flatten
11:55 READ12:00 midday read (MNQ.Z26): price 29,708.25, morning mode rotation. Still alive. The last 30 min ranged 53 pts; outer levels in reach: none close yet. Only PDH/PDL/ONH/ONL fades count over lunch, and they arrive graded B with +2 risk for the thin tape.
12:55 READ13:00 afternoon read (MNQ.Z26): price 29,727.75, below VWAP 29,747.07; first hour was down; morning mode rotation.
Afternoon levels: day high 29,845.25 (+118) and day low 29,659.25 (-68).
Plan: a shallow poke of either that closes back inside = Setup A fade; a 5-min close through either = Setup C, join the first pullback (these held into the close ~2 of 3 times, best when they agree with the first hour). Lunch range is not a level.
5-min ATR 24: stops 18-36 pts. Caps: 0/3 afternoon alerts. Flat by 15:55.
14:50 HEADSUP👀 opening-range high (29,845) got poked and price snapped back. If the next 5-min bar closes back under it, it's a SHORT (~18 pts, $35 risk). About 5 min to decide.
14:55 PMSETUP B · risk 4🟡 B · risk 4/10 · SHORT MNQ · fade
In 29,831.75
Stop 29,854.25 (-$45)
Target 29,807.38 (+$49, 1.1R)
Runner if it flies: 29,798.75 (+$66)
Why: poked opening-range high / first-hour high / today's high (29,845) and snapped back under it.
Out: a 5-min close back past 29,854.
Size: 1 MNQ, full size · Day: range-bound
(afternoon paper call - no Approve button)
14:55 READ15:00 power hour (MNQ.Z26): price 29,831.75, day up from the 29,812.75 open, above VWAP 29,752.05.
Day high 29,849.25 / low 29,659.25. Last hour made a new day extreme on ~43% of days, but breakouts of the 2-3pm range failed ~65%: only continuation WITH the day's direction counts, and a shallow poke of the day high/low that closes back inside is still a fade.
Everything closes by 15:55. No overnight.
15:20 HEADSUP👀 opening-range high (29,845) got poked and price snapped back. If the next 5-min bar closes back under it, it's a SHORT (~12 pts, $24 risk). About 5 min to decide.
15:25 WATCH C · risk 9👁 C · risk 9/10 · SHORT MNQ · fade
In 29,831.25
Stop 29,850.75 (-$39)
Target 29,807.38 (+$48, 1.2R)
Runner if it flies: 29,798.75 (+$65)
Why: poked opening-range high / first-hour high / today's high (29,845) and snapped back under it.
Out: a 5-min close back past 29,851.
Size: 1 MNQ or pass · Day: range-bound
(watch only - not sent to your phone)
15:25 PMSETUP A · risk 4🟢 A · risk 4/10 · LONG MNQ · close-into-the-bell
In 29,831.25
Stop 29,819.19 (-$24)
Target 29,852.75 (+$43, 1.8R)
Runner if it flies: 29,861.39 (+$60)
Why: the day has been up since the open, so this rides it into the 4pm close.
Out: a 5-min close back against the 3:00-3:30 range, or 3:55, whichever comes first.
Size: 1 MNQ, full size · Day: range-bound
(afternoon paper call - no Approve button)
15:40 INFOSetup A short (B, risk 4) from 14:55: hit STOP at 15:45 (-1.0R).
15:40 INFOSetup D long (A, risk 4) from 15:25: hit TARGET at 15:45 (+1.8R).