MNQ day review

Thursday, Sep 10, 2026 · MNQ.U26 +49 pts open 29,088.50 · close 29,137.25 ← all days today →

The whole day

29,02729,09629,16629,23529,30529,37409:0010:0011:0012:0013:0014:0015:009:30 openPDL 29,358HOD 29,275IBH 29,263OR15H 29,200OR15L/IBL/LOD 29,058ONL 29,042

Calls and outcomes

TimeSetupEntryStopTargetOutcome
10:40A short · A+ r2
IBH
29,237.0029,280.2529,172.12win (+1.5R)
11:00A short · B r4
IBH
29,226.5029,270.0029,170.01loss (-1.0R)
11:10B long · C r9 (C, watch only)
pullback
29,244.7529,205.0029,304.38loss (-1.0R)
15:25D short (paper) · B r6
15:30 go-with-the-day
29,159.7529,181.5029,105.38flat (+1.0R)

Your trades

EntrySideInOutPts$Tag
10:45short29,234.2529,264.75-30.50-61Setup A IBH (10:40) A+ r2
11:05short29,234.2529,238.00-3.75-8Setup A IBH (11:00) B r4
11:29long29,240.5029,235.50-5.00-10Setup B pullback (11:10) C r9
11:49short29,222.5029,233.75-11.25-22unplanned

How the day played out

The day opened at 29,088, ranged 218 points (29,058 to 29,275), and closed at 29,137 (+49 from the open). The high printed at 10:35 and the low at 09:30 ET.

The middling 368-point gap never filled; yesterday's close at 29,457 was left behind.

The morning rotated without committing: edges mattered, the middle did not.

The system sent 3 calls (A+, B, B): 1 won, 1 lost, 1 other, +1.5R in total.

Call of the day: Setup A short at 10:40 off IBH (+1.5R). Worth replaying the chart around that bar.

Plus 1 watch-only (C) setup, shown but not sent: 0 would have won, -1.0R. These are tracked to check the C bar is set where it belongs, not calls you missed.

You traded 4 round trips: -50.50 pts ($-101.00). 1 of them was outside the system (tagged unplanned): compare those with the calls above.

Levels at the close

LevelPriceStatus
PDH29,594.00fresh
ONH29,508.25fresh
Prior close29,457.00reference
PDL29,358.25broken (closed through)
ON mid29,275.38reference
HOD29,275.25fresh
IBH29,263.00tested 10:35
OR15H29,200.00broken (closed through)
VWAP29,182.36reference
OR15L29,057.75fresh
IBL29,057.75fresh
LOD29,057.75fresh
ONL29,042.50fresh

Every alert

07:25 UPDATE
Early morning update (MNQ.U26), 07:25 ET bar: 29,336.25. Phase: pre-market.

In plain English: Overnight the market moved down about 121 points from yesterday's 29,457 close, a middling gap. We are below the middle of the overnight range, which usually means the overnight low (29,326) gets tested before the other end. Nothing to do yet. The job before 9:45 is to let the open sort itself out and see which levels get hit. Either way it is one trade, one micro, with a stop of roughly 16 to 33 points ($33 to $66), a target about one and a half times that, sent as a bracket so it runs without you.

Levels: PDH 29,594.00 (+258) | ONH 29,508.25 (+172) | Prior close 29,457.00 (+121) | ON mid 29,416.88 (+81) | PDL 29,358.25 (+22) | ONL 29,325.50 (-11)
5m ATR 22 | daily ATR 386 | 9/21 EMA 29,352/29,371
News: 08:30 Core PPI m/m (High); 08:30 PPI m/m (High)
Watch:
- Price is below the ON mid (29,416.88): ONL usually breaks first (~76%); ONH is reached first only ~23%.
- Gap -121 pts (0.31 daily ATR): mixed odds of a fill (~25-40%).
- 8:30 release today: the open runs hotter than usual (ATR ~1.5x). Stops widen, size stays 1 micro, be pickier.
- 9:30-9:45: watch only. A third of overnight-level breaks happen in the first 5 minutes; most whipsaws live here.
- Stop sizing right now: 0.75x ATR = 16 pts ($33/micro), 1.5x cap = 33 pts.
Full page: https://peltonsites.com/mnq/
08:25 UPDATE
Pre-open update (MNQ.U26), 08:25 ET bar: 29,237.75. Phase: pre-market.

In plain English: Overnight the market moved down about 219 points from yesterday's 29,457 close, a middling gap. We are below the middle of the overnight range, which usually means the overnight low (29,210) gets tested before the other end. Nothing to do yet. The job before 9:45 is to let the open sort itself out and see which levels get hit. Either way it is one trade, one micro, with a stop of roughly 19 to 39 points ($39 to $78), a target about one and a half times that, sent as a bracket so it runs without you.

Levels: PDH 29,594.00 (+356) | ONH 29,508.25 (+270) | Prior close 29,457.00 (+219) | ON mid 29,359.12 (+121) | PDL 29,358.25 (+120) | ONL 29,210.00 (-28)
5m ATR 26 | daily ATR 386 | 9/21 EMA 29,259/29,300
News: 08:30 Core PPI m/m (High); 08:30 PPI m/m (High)
Watch:
- Price is below the ON mid (29,359.12): ONL usually breaks first (~76%); ONH is reached first only ~23%.
- Gap -219 pts (0.57 daily ATR): mixed odds of a fill (~25-40%).
- 8:30 release today: the open runs hotter than usual (ATR ~1.5x). Stops widen, size stays 1 micro, be pickier.
- 9:30-9:45: watch only. A third of overnight-level breaks happen in the first 5 minutes; most whipsaws live here.
- Price is 63 pts from the 21 EMA (>2 ATR): extended, do not chase; wait for the pullback.
- Stop sizing right now: 0.75x ATR = 19 pts ($39/micro), 1.5x cap = 39 pts.
Full page: https://peltonsites.com/mnq/
09:05 BRIEF
MNQ morning map, Thu Sep 10 (MNQ.U26)
PDH 29,594 | PDL 29,358.25 | prior close 29,457
ONH 29,508.25 | ONL 29,042.50 | ON mid 29,275.38
Pre-open 29,070.75: below ON mid -> ONL usually breaks first (~76%).
Gap -386 pts = 1.00 daily ATR (mid-size gap, ~25-40% fill).
Daily ATR 386 | 5-min ATR 36
News today: 08:30 Core PPI m/m (High); 08:30 PPI m/m (High)
Rules: nothing before 9:45, max 3 alerts, flat by 11:30.
09:40 UPDATE
Window open, first 15 minutes done (MNQ.U26), 09:40 ET bar: 29,138.75. Phase: open, watch only (9:30-9:45).

In plain English: Overnight the market moved down about 368 points from yesterday's 29,457 close, a middling gap. We are below the middle of the overnight range, which usually means the overnight low (29,042) gets tested before the other end. Price is above today's average price (29,130), so the buyers have the upper hand so far. Nothing to do yet. The job before 9:45 is to let the open sort itself out and see which levels get hit. Either way it is one trade, one micro, with a stop of roughly 32 to 64 points ($64 to $128), a target about one and a half times that, sent as a bracket so it runs without you.

Levels: PDH 29,594.00 (+455) | ONH 29,508.25 (+370) | Prior close 29,457.00 (+318) | PDL 29,358.25 (+220) | ON mid 29,275.38 (+137) | VWAP 29,130.45 (-8) | ONL 29,042.50 (-96)
5m ATR 43 | daily ATR 386 | 9/21 EMA 29,114/29,147
News: 08:30 Core PPI m/m (High); 08:30 PPI m/m (High)
Watch:
- Price is below the ON mid (29,275.38): ONL usually breaks first (~76%); ONH is reached first only ~23%.
- Gap -368 pts (0.95 daily ATR): mixed odds of a fill (~25-40%).
- 8:30 release today: the open runs hotter than usual (ATR ~1.5x). Stops widen, size stays 1 micro, be pickier.
- ONH 29,508.25 (+370 pts) is fresh: a poke of less than ~21 pts that closes back inside = Setup A short; a body close through it on heavy volume = a break, do not fade (already >1 daily ATR from the open: deep extremes rarely fade, skip).
- PDH 29,594.00 (+455 pts) is fresh: a poke of less than ~21 pts that closes back inside = Setup A short; a body close through it on heavy volume = a break, do not fade (already >1 daily ATR from the open: deep extremes rarely fade, skip).
- ONL 29,042.50 (-96 pts) is fresh: a poke of less than ~21 pts that closes back inside = Setup A long; a body close through it on heavy volume = a break, do not fade.
Full page: https://peltonsites.com/mnq/
10:25 READ
10:30 read (MNQ.U26): first-hour body 0.58 (up) -> mode rotation.
IB 29,057.75-29,263.00 (205 pts = 0.53 daily ATR; normal).
Price 29,207.00 above VWAP 29,149.45; 9 over 21; VWAP crosses in hour one: 2.
Rotation: Setup A at fresh outer levels; Setup B only on a clean IB break.
10:35 HEADSUP
👀 first-hour high (29,263) got poked and price snapped back. If the next 5-min bar closes back under it, it's a SHORT (~40 pts, $80 risk). About 5 min to decide.
10:40 CONFIRMED A+ · risk 2
🟢 A+ · risk 2/10 · SHORT MNQ · fade
In 29,237
Stop 29,280.25  (-$86)
Target 29,172.12  (+$130, 1.5R)
Runner if it flies: 29,128.88 (+$216)
Why: poked first-hour high (29,263) and snapped back under it.
Out: a 5-min close back past 29,280.
Size: 1 MNQ, full size · Day: range-bound
AUTO A1045: SENT A1045: order sent: SELL 1 XCME:MNQ.U26 MARKET | stop 29280.25 | target 29172.12 | DAY (id 10766811788661388985-14123249)
10:45 TRADE
Filled: now short 1 from 29,234.25.
10:57 TRADE
Trade closed: short 1 MNQ.U26 29,234.25 -> 29,264.75 = -30.50 pts ($-61.00), held 13 min, Setup A IBH (10:40) A+ r2. Today: 1 trade, 0 wins, -30.50 pts ($-61.00).
10:55 HEADSUP
👀 first-hour high (29,263) got poked and price snapped back. If the next 5-min bar closes back under it, it's a SHORT (~37 pts, $75 risk). About 5 min to decide.
11:00 CONFIRMED B · risk 4
🟡 B · risk 4/10 · SHORT MNQ · fade
In 29,226.50
Stop 29,270  (-$87)
Target 29,170.01  (+$113, 1.3R)
Runner if it flies: 29,117.75 (+$218)
Why: poked first-hour high (29,263) and snapped back under it.
Out: a 5-min close back past 29,270.
Size: 1 MNQ, full size · Day: range-bound
Tap Approve for a 1-micro bracket (ticket A1105, 15 min).
11:05 TRADE
Filled: now short 1 from 29,234.25.
11:05 HEADSUP
👀 The up move is pulling back to the average price and may set up a LONG. If the next 5-min bar turns back up off it, that's the go (~37 pts risk). About 5 min to decide.
11:14 TRADE
Trade closed: short 1 MNQ.U26 29,234.25 -> 29,238.00 = -3.75 pts ($-7.50), held 10 min, Setup A IBH (11:00) B r4. Today: 2 trades, 0 wins, -34.25 pts ($-68.50).
11:14 HALT
Day halt (2 losses). Stop looking. No new trades. Existing brackets stay. Lifts tomorrow, or /override if you really want another.
11:10 WATCH C · risk 9
👁 C · risk 9/10 · LONG MNQ · first-pullback
In 29,244.75
Stop 29,205  (-$80)
Target 29,304.38  (+$119, 1.5R)
Runner if it flies: 29,358.25 (+$227)
Why: price is holding the pullback zone with the up move intact.
Out: a 5-min close back through the average price (29,173).
Size: 1 MNQ or pass · Day: range-bound
(watch only - not sent to your phone)
11:29 TRADE
Filled: now long 1 from 29,240.50.
11:25 DONE
11:30, morning window over (MNQ.U26). Lunch until 13:00: only PDH/PDL/ONH/ONL fades qualify and they arrive graded B with the thin tape priced in. A 12:00 read will say whether lunch is dead. Afternoon opens 13:00 with the day's high/low as its levels.
This morning: 3 heads-up, 2 graded calls sent, 1 watch-only (C) on the page.
- Setup A short 10:40 [A+, risk 2]: open
- Setup A short 11:00 [B, risk 4]: open
- Setup B long 11:10 [C, risk 9] (C, watch only): loss (-1.0R)
Your trades today: 2 trades, 0 wins, -34.25 pts ($-68.50).
Auto-flatten: cancelled 10766811788661388985-14281226; cancelled 10766811788661388985-14282714; flatten sent: SELL 1 XCME:MNQ.U26 MARKET (flatten)
You still hold 1 long from 29,240.50. Playbook says flat by 11:30 (afternoon window opens 13:00).
11:30 TRADE
Trade closed: long 1 MNQ.U26 29,240.50 -> 29,235.50 = -5.00 pts ($-10.00), held 1 min, Setup B pullback (11:10) C r9. Today: 3 trades, 0 wins, -39.25 pts ($-78.50).
11:35 INFO
Setup A short (B, risk 4) from 11:00: hit STOP at 11:40 (-1.0R).
11:49 TRADE
Filled: now short 1 from 29,222.50.
11:52 TRADE
Trade closed: short 1 MNQ.U26 29,222.50 -> 29,233.75 = -11.25 pts ($-22.50), held 4 min, unplanned. Today: 4 trades, 0 wins, -50.50 pts ($-101.00).
11:55 READ
12:00 midday read (MNQ.U26): price 29,204.75, morning mode rotation. Still alive. The last 30 min ranged 86 pts; outer levels in reach: none close yet. Only PDH/PDL/ONH/ONL fades count over lunch, and they arrive graded B with +2 risk for the thin tape.
12:10 INFO
Setup A short (A+, risk 2) from 10:40: hit TARGET at 12:15 (+1.5R).
12:55 READ
13:00 afternoon read (MNQ.U26): price 29,232.75, above VWAP 29,184.38; first hour was up; morning mode rotation.
Afternoon levels: day high 29,275.25 (+42) and day low 29,057.75 (-175).
Plan: a shallow poke of either that closes back inside = Setup A fade; a 5-min close through either = Setup C, join the first pullback (these held into the close ~2 of 3 times, best when they agree with the first hour). Lunch range is not a level.
5-min ATR 37: stops 27-55 pts. Caps: 0/3 afternoon alerts. Flat by 15:55.
14:55 READ
15:00 power hour (MNQ.U26): price 29,174.50, day up from the 29,088.50 open, below VWAP 29,185.37.
Day high 29,275.25 / low 29,057.75. Last hour made a new day extreme on ~43% of days, but breakouts of the 2-3pm range failed ~65%: only continuation WITH the day's direction counts, and a shallow poke of the day high/low that closes back inside is still a fade.
Everything closes by 15:55. No overnight.
15:25 PMSETUP B · risk 6
🟡 B · risk 6/10 · SHORT MNQ · close-into-the-bell
In 29,159.75
Stop 29,181.50  (-$44)
Target 29,105.38  (+$109, 2.5R)
Why: the day has been down since the open, so this rides it into the 4pm close.
Out: a 5-min close back against the 3:00-3:30 range, or 3:55, whichever comes first.
Size: 1 MNQ only · Day: range-bound
(afternoon paper call - no Approve button)
15:50 FLATTEN
15:55: flat by the close. Anything still open from today's plans should be closed now; nothing is held overnight.
Auto-flatten: no position to flatten