Every alert
07:25 UPDATEEarly morning update (MNQ.U26), 07:25 ET bar: 29,418.00. Phase: pre-market.
In plain English: Overnight the market moved down about 126 points from yesterday's 29,544 close, a middling gap. We are below the middle of the overnight range, which usually means the overnight low (29,365) gets tested before the other end. Nothing to do yet. The job before 9:45 is to let the open sort itself out and see which levels get hit. Either way it is one trade, one micro, with a stop of roughly 21 to 41 points ($41 to $82), a target about one and a half times that, sent as a bracket so it runs without you.
Levels: PDH 29,686.75 (+269) | ONH 29,634.00 (+216) | Prior close 29,544.50 (+126) | ON mid 29,499.50 (+82) | PDL 29,424.50 (+6) | ONL 29,365.00 (-53)
5m ATR 27 | daily ATR 378 | 9/21 EMA 29,410/29,426
Watch:
- Price is below the ON mid (29,499.50): ONL usually breaks first (~76%); ONH is reached first only ~23%.
- Gap -126 pts (0.33 daily ATR): mixed odds of a fill (~25-40%).
- 9:30-9:45: watch only. A third of overnight-level breaks happen in the first 5 minutes; most whipsaws live here.
- Stop sizing right now: 0.75x ATR = 21 pts ($41/micro), 1.5x cap = 41 pts.
Full page: https://peltonsites.com/mnq/
08:25 UPDATEPre-open update (MNQ.U26), 08:25 ET bar: 29,351.50. Phase: pre-market.
In plain English: Overnight the market moved down about 193 points from yesterday's 29,544 close, a middling gap. We are below the middle of the overnight range, which usually means the overnight low (29,332) gets tested before the other end. Nothing to do yet. The job before 9:45 is to let the open sort itself out and see which levels get hit. Either way it is one trade, one micro, with a stop of roughly 21 to 41 points ($41 to $82), a target about one and a half times that, sent as a bracket so it runs without you.
Levels: PDH 29,686.75 (+335) | ONH 29,634.00 (+282) | Prior close 29,544.50 (+193) | ON mid 29,483.25 (+132) | PDL 29,424.50 (+73) | ONL 29,332.50 (-19)
5m ATR 27 | daily ATR 378 | 9/21 EMA 29,367/29,389
Watch:
- Price is below the ON mid (29,483.25): ONL usually breaks first (~76%); ONH is reached first only ~23%.
- Gap -193 pts (0.51 daily ATR): mixed odds of a fill (~25-40%).
- 9:30-9:45: watch only. A third of overnight-level breaks happen in the first 5 minutes; most whipsaws live here.
- Stop sizing right now: 0.75x ATR = 21 pts ($41/micro), 1.5x cap = 41 pts.
Full page: https://peltonsites.com/mnq/
09:10 BRIEFMNQ morning map, Wed Sep 09 (MNQ.U26)
PDH 29,686.75 | PDL 29,424.50 | prior close 29,544.50
ONH 29,634 | ONL 29,332.50 | ON mid 29,483.25
Pre-open 29,402.50: below ON mid -> ONL usually breaks first (~76%).
Gap -142 pts = 0.38 daily ATR (mid-size gap, ~25-40% fill).
Daily ATR 378 | 5-min ATR 23
News: nothing high-impact on the calendar.
Rules: nothing before 9:45, max 3 alerts, flat by 11:30.
09:40 UPDATEWindow open, first 15 minutes done (MNQ.U26), 09:40 ET bar: 29,479.00. Phase: open, watch only (9:30-9:45).
In plain English: Overnight the market moved down about 88 points from yesterday's 29,544 close, a small gap. Gaps that size usually get filled, so 29,544 is a magnet today. We are below the middle of the overnight range, which usually means the overnight low (29,332) gets tested before the other end. Price is above today's average price (29,474), so the buyers have the upper hand so far. Nothing to do yet. The job before 9:45 is to let the open sort itself out and see which levels get hit. Either way it is one trade, one micro, with a stop of roughly 22 to 44 points ($44 to $87), a target about one and a half times that, sent as a bracket so it runs without you.
Levels: PDH 29,686.75 (+208) | ONH 29,634.00 (+155) | Prior close 29,544.50 (+66) | ON mid 29,483.25 (+4) | VWAP 29,474.13 (-5) | PDL 29,424.50 (-54) | ONL 29,332.50 (-146)
5m ATR 29 | daily ATR 378 | 9/21 EMA 29,445/29,421
Watch:
- Price is below the ON mid (29,483.25): ONL usually breaks first (~76%); ONH is reached first only ~23%.
- Gap -88 pts is tiny (0.23 daily ATR): the prior close 29,544.50 is a magnet (fills ~78%); expect the overnight range to get swept.
- ONH 29,634.00 (+155 pts) is fresh: a poke of less than ~15 pts that closes back inside = Setup A short; a body close through it on heavy volume = a break, do not fade.
- PDH 29,686.75 (+208 pts) is fresh: a poke of less than ~15 pts that closes back inside = Setup A short; a body close through it on heavy volume = a break, do not fade.
- ONL 29,332.50 (-146 pts) is fresh: a poke of less than ~15 pts that closes back inside = Setup A long; a body close through it on heavy volume = a break, do not fade.
- Stop sizing right now: 0.75x ATR = 22 pts ($44/micro), 1.5x cap = 44 pts.
Full page: https://peltonsites.com/mnq/
10:25 READ10:30 read (MNQ.U26): first-hour body 0.44 (up) -> mode rotation.
IB 29,417.00-29,594.00 (177 pts = 0.47 daily ATR; narrow, extension likely).
Price 29,535.00 above VWAP 29,509.19; 9 over 21; VWAP crosses in hour one: 2.
Rotation: Setup A at fresh outer levels; Setup B only on a clean IB break.
11:25 DONE11:30, morning window over (MNQ.U26). Lunch until 13:00: only PDH/PDL/ONH/ONL fades qualify and they arrive graded B with the thin tape priced in. A 12:00 read will say whether lunch is dead. Afternoon opens 13:00 with the day's high/low as its levels.
This morning: 0 heads-up, 0 graded calls sent, 0 watch-only (C) on the page.
Your trades today: no trades.
Auto-flatten: no position to flatten
11:55 READ12:00 midday read (MNQ.U26): price 29,447.25, morning mode rotation. Still alive. The last 30 min ranged 95 pts; outer levels in reach: none close yet. Only PDH/PDL/ONH/ONL fades count over lunch, and they arrive graded B with +2 risk for the thin tape.
12:55 READ13:00 afternoon read (MNQ.U26): price 29,458.50, below VWAP 29,477.45; first hour was up; morning mode rotation.
Afternoon levels: day high 29,594 (+136) and day low 29,358.25 (-100).
Plan: a shallow poke of either that closes back inside = Setup A fade; a 5-min close through either = Setup C, join the first pullback (these held into the close ~2 of 3 times, best when they agree with the first hour). Lunch range is not a level.
5-min ATR 33: stops 25-50 pts. Caps: 0/3 afternoon alerts. Flat by 15:55.
14:55 READ15:00 power hour (MNQ.U26): price 29,447.25, day down from the 29,456.50 open, below VWAP 29,474.59.
Day high 29,594 / low 29,358.25. Last hour made a new day extreme on ~43% of days, but breakouts of the 2-3pm range failed ~65%: only continuation WITH the day's direction counts, and a shallow poke of the day high/low that closes back inside is still a fade.
Everything closes by 15:55. No overnight.
15:25 PMSETUP B · risk 8🟡 B · risk 8/10 · SHORT MNQ · close-into-the-bell
In 29,452
Stop 29,476.25 (-$48)
Target 29,391.38 (+$121, 2.5R)
Why: the day has been down since the open, so this rides it into the 4pm close.
Out: a 5-min close back against the 3:00-3:30 range, or 3:55, whichever comes first.
Size: 1 MNQ or pass · Day: range-bound
(afternoon paper call - no Approve button)
15:31 TRADEFilled: now short 1 from 29,450.50.
15:43 TRADETrade closed: short 1 MNQ.U26 29,450.50 -> 29,445.00 = +5.50 pts ($+11.00), held 12 min, Setup D 15:30 go-with-the-day (15:25) B r8. Today: 1 trade, 1 win, +5.50 pts ($+11.00).
15:44 TRADEFilled: now short 1 from 29,446.50.
15:49 TRADETrade closed: short 1 MNQ.U26 29,446.50 -> 29,451.00 = -4.50 pts ($-9.00), held 5 min, Setup D 15:30 go-with-the-day (15:25) B r8. Today: 2 trades, 1 win, +1.00 pts ($+2.00).
15:50 FLATTEN15:55: flat by the close. Anything still open from today's plans should be closed now; nothing is held overnight.
Auto-flatten: no position to flatten