Reconstructed after the fact from saved 5-minute bars (the watcher was not archiving live on this day); alerts shown are what the current rules would have said.
| Time | Setup | Entry | Stop | Target | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:50 | B long pullback | 29,614.75 | 29,527.75 | 29,745.25 | loss (-1.0R) |
No trades this day.
The day opened at 29,335, ranged 445 points (29,241 to 29,686), and closed at 29,497 (+162 from the open). The high printed at 11:10 and the low at 09:30 ET.
The small 272-point gap filled at 10:10: yesterday's close (29,607) acted as the magnet the base rates say it is.
The morning rotated without committing: edges mattered, the middle did not.
The system made 1 call: 0 won, 1 lost, -1.0R in total.
You took no trades this day.
| Level | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|
| PDH | 30,073.25 | fresh |
| HOD | 29,686.25 | fresh |
| ONH | 29,678.75 | tested 11:10 |
| IBH | 29,666.50 | broken (closed through) |
| Prior close | 29,606.75 | reference |
| PDL | 29,593.00 | broken (closed through) |
| VWAP | 29,534.30 | reference |
| ON mid | 29,503.12 | reference |
| OR15H | 29,473.25 | broken (closed through) |
| ONL | 29,327.50 | tested 09:30 |
| OR15L | 29,241.00 | fresh |
| IBL | 29,241.00 | fresh |
| LOD | 29,241.00 | fresh |
MNQ morning map, Thu Aug 06 (MNQ.U26) PDH 30,073.25 | PDL 29,593 | prior close 29,606.75 ONH 29,678.75 | ONL 29,337 | ON mid 29,507.88 Pre-open 29,349.00: below ON mid -> ONL usually breaks first (~76%). Gap -258 pts (daily ATR not ready yet). Daily ATR n/a | 5-min ATR 29 News: nothing high-impact on the calendar. Rules: nothing before 9:45, max 3 alerts, flat by 11:30.
10:30 read (MNQ.U26): first-hour body 0.59 (up) -> mode rotation. IB 29,241.00-29,666.50 (426 pts). Price 29,587.00 above VWAP 29,497.85; 9 over 21; VWAP crosses in hour one: 0. Rotation: Setup A at fresh outer levels; Setup B only on a clean IB break.
HEADS-UP: Setup B (long) pullback is in the zone. Direction from first-hour candle body 0.71; drive extreme 29,666.50, pullback to 29,532.75 (46% retrace), 21 EMA 29,535.66, VWAP 29,519.76. Watch for a trend bar closing above the 9 EMA (29,579.80) and the prior bar's high. Stop would be ~29,527.75 (87 pts).
SETUP B LONG CONFIRMED at 10:50 ET, MNQ.U26. Direction: first-hour candle body 0.71. Drive 29,376.00 -> 29,666.50, pullback to 29,532.75 held the 21 EMA / VWAP zone; 10:50 trend bar closed 29,614.75 above the 9 EMA and the prior bar's high. Entry ~29,614.75 | Stop 29,527.75 (87 pts, $174) | Target 29,745.25 (1.5R, $261) ATR 60 | VWAP 29,519.76 | 9/21 EMA 29,580/29,536 | mode rotation Notes: direction: first-hour candle body 0.71; pullback 46% of drive; trigger bar body 0.85; trigger RVOL 1.1; target = 1.5R
HEADS-UP: Setup A forming at IBH 29,666.50. The 11:00 bar poked 12 pts through and closed back inside. If the next bar closes below 29,638.50, it's a go (short). Stop would be ~29,683.25 (71 pts, $142). ATR 61.
11:30, morning session over (MNQ.U26). Flat now; the afternoon window opens at 13:00 with the day's high/low as its levels. Today: 2 heads-up, 1 confirmed. - Setup B long 10:50: open
Setup B long from 10:50: hit STOP at 11:55 (-1.0R).
13:00 afternoon read (MNQ.U26): price 29,556.75, above VWAP 29,536.32; first hour was up; morning mode rotation. Afternoon levels: day high 29,686.25 (+130) and day low 29,241 (-316). Plan: a shallow poke of either that closes back inside = Setup A fade; a 5-min close through either = Setup C, join the first pullback (these held into the close ~2 of 3 times, best when they agree with the first hour). Lunch range is not a level. 5-min ATR 53: stops 40-80 pts. Caps: 0/2 afternoon alerts. Flat by 15:55.
15:00 power hour (MNQ.U26): price 29,515.50, day up from the 29,335.25 open, below VWAP 29,535.59. Day high 29,686.25 / low 29,241. Last hour made a new day extreme on ~43% of days, but breakouts of the 2-3pm range failed ~65%: only continuation WITH the day's direction counts, and a shallow poke of the day high/low that closes back inside is still a fade. Everything closes by 15:55. No overnight.
15:30 go-with-the-day: day is down 98 pts from yesterday's close but the first hour disagreed, so no Setup D today (the edge mostly lives where they agree).
16:00, day over (MNQ.U26). Today: 2 heads-up, 1 confirmed (1 morning, 0 afternoon). - Setup B long 10:50: loss (-1.0R)