Reconstructed after the fact from saved 5-minute bars (the watcher was not archiving live on this day); alerts shown are what the current rules would have said.
| Time | Setup | Entry | Stop | Target | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:40 | C long (paper) pullback | 28,913.25 | 28,877.25 | 28,967.25 | loss (-1.0R) |
No trades this day.
The day opened at 28,418, ranged 652 points (28,313 to 28,965), and closed at 28,901 (+483 from the open). The high printed at 14:10 and the low at 09:30 ET.
The first hour committed higher (body 0.70), a trend morning: pullbacks, not reversals, were the play.
The system made 1 call: 0 won, 1 lost, -1.0R in total (paper).
You took no trades this day.
| Level | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|
| HOD | 28,847.50 | broken (closed through) |
| VWAP | 28,727.56 | reference |
| ONH | 28,698.25 | broken (closed through) |
| IBH | 28,684.75 | broken (closed through) |
| ON mid | 28,540.50 | reference |
| OR15H | 28,540.25 | broken (closed through) |
| ONL | 28,382.75 | broken (closed through) |
| OR15L | 28,313.00 | fresh |
| IBL | 28,313.00 | fresh |
| LOD | 28,313.00 | fresh |
MNQ morning map, Mon Aug 03 (MNQ.U26) PDH n/a | PDL n/a | prior close n/a ONH 28,698.25 | ONL 28,382.75 | ON mid 28,540.50 Pre-open 28,487.00: below ON mid -> ONL usually breaks first (~76%). Daily ATR n/a | 5-min ATR 31 News: nothing high-impact on the calendar. Rules: nothing before 9:45, max 3 alerts, flat by 11:30.
10:30 read (MNQ.U26): first-hour body 0.70 (up) -> mode trend-up. IB 28,313.00-28,684.75 (372 pts). Price 28,678.25 above VWAP 28,529.79; 9 over 21; VWAP crosses in hour one: 0. Setup B mode long: wait for the pullback to VWAP / 21 EMA.
11:30, morning session over (MNQ.U26). Flat now; the afternoon window opens at 13:00 with the day's high/low as its levels. Today: 0 heads-up, 0 confirmed.
13:00 afternoon read (MNQ.U26): price 28,822.25, above VWAP 28,651.06; first hour was up; morning mode trend-up. Afternoon levels: day high 28,847.50 (+25) and day low 28,313 (-509). Plan: a shallow poke of either that closes back inside = Setup A fade; a 5-min close through either = Setup C, join the first pullback (these held into the close ~2 of 3 times, best when they agree with the first hour). Lunch range is not a level. 5-min ATR 30: stops 23-46 pts. Caps: 0/2 afternoon alerts. Flat by 15:55.
HEADS-UP: Setup B (long) pullback is in the zone. Direction from first-hour candle body 0.70; drive extreme 28,965.00, pullback to 28,882.25 (19% retrace), 21 EMA 28,890.14, VWAP 28,699.86. Watch for a trend bar closing above the 9 EMA (28,907.17) and the prior bar's high. Stop would be ~28,877.25 (36 pts).
AFTERNOON SETUP (paper-tracked, no ticket) SETUP C LONG CONFIRMED at 14:40 ET, MNQ.U26. Direction: first-hour candle body 0.70. Drive 28,525.00 -> 28,965.00, pullback to 28,882.25 held the 21 EMA / VWAP zone; 14:40 trend bar closed 28,913.25 above the 9 EMA and the prior bar's high. Entry ~28,913.25 | Stop 28,877.25 (36 pts, $72) | Target 28,967.25 (1.5R, $108) ATR 25 | VWAP 28,699.86 | 9/21 EMA 28,907/28,890 | mode trend-up Notes: direction: first-hour candle body 0.70; pullback 19% of drive; trigger bar body 0.82; afternoon continuation (Setup C); target = 1.5R
15:00 power hour (MNQ.U26): price 28,907.50, day up from the 28,417.50 open, above VWAP 28,705.25. Day high 28,965 / low 28,313. Last hour made a new day extreme on ~43% of days, but breakouts of the 2-3pm range failed ~65%: only continuation WITH the day's direction counts, and a shallow poke of the day high/low that closes back inside is still a fade. Everything closes by 15:55. No overnight.
15:55: flat by the close. Anything still open from today's plans should be closed now; nothing is held overnight.
Setup C long from 14:40: hit STOP at 16:00 (-1.0R).
16:00, day over (MNQ.U26). Today: 1 heads-up, 1 confirmed (0 morning, 1 afternoon). - Setup C long 14:40: loss (-1.0R)